Financial crises come from greed - banks lend to hordes of people who can't pay

Kaylee 2022-12-23 06:24:53

Wall Street packaged mortgages into mortgage-backed bonds, which were then broken up and sold to investors, who made a fortune. So I lobbied the bank to let them take out more housing loans. The bank originally only gave loans to people with good credit. After their appetite grew, they lowered their standards. Ordinary people with low credit and zero down payment can also get housing loans. These ordinary people who got mortgages believed that what the experts did was not wrong. They thought that since the bank was willing to lend me a loan, it meant that I could afford it and the American dream was about to come true, so they bought a house specifically. Banks know that bond-guaranteed mortgages are high-risk, so they buy insurance for them. Once the mortgage defaults, the insurance company will pay, and the bank will transfer the risk, so they invest more and make more money. And among so many contracting companies, one has reached the point of being unrestrained - AIG AIA, because it wants to make hundreds of millions of dollars in insurance premiums, and thinks that the property market will continue to be optimistic, but did not expect the property market to collapse and bought a house. Poor people, once the low interest rate period is over and mortgages go up, they won't be able to afford it. Mortgage-backed bonds were bogged down, and AIA had to pay all of the world's policies at the same time. As a result, all the insured banks in the same day suffered losses, and they all fell, and everyone was pulled into the water. Why is there no one to supervise it, because they make too much money and get lost in the interests, no one is willing to supervise.

The Great Depression started with the collapse of the stock market, but what dragged down the overall economy was the collapse of credit. Without loans, people could not buy houses and do business. The modern economy is built on credit. So the Treasury buys the preferred stock of the various banks, gives them the money, and lets them lend it out, which unfreezes the credit, stabilizes the banks, and restores confidence. After the financial crisis of 2008, banks received substantial financial assistance from the government. The funds were supposed to help banks meet their financial obligations so they could start lending again. But banks are reluctant to lend money to small businesses or the self-employed, who don't have enough confidence in their ability to repay their money, so they hoard it. High-quality banks can cover troubled banks. If you only give them to a few of them, you are telling others that these banks are waiting for money to save their lives, and the result will be immediately swallowed up by the market. National interests and vested interests are always at odds.

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Too Big to Fail quotes

  • Michele Davis: I hate to do this right now, but I'm going to have to have a press call first thing, and I don't know what I'm going to tell them.

    Jim Wilkinson: Okay, here's how you explain it. Wall Street started bundling home loans together - mortgage-backed securities - and selling slices of those bundles to investors, and they were making big money. So they started pushing the lenders saying, come on, we need more loans.

    Henry Paulson: The lenders had already given loans to borrowers with good credit, so they go bottom feeding, they lower their criteria.

    Neel Kashkari: Before, you needed a credit score of 620 and a down payment of 20%; now they'll settle for 500, no money down.

    Jim Wilkinson: And the buyer, the regular guy on the street assumes that the experts know what they're doing. He's saying to himself, if the bank's willing to loan me money, I must be able to afford it. So he reaches for the American Dream, he buys that house.

    Neel Kashkari: The banks knew securities based on shitbag mortgages were risky...

    Henry Paulson: - you'll work on 'shitbag'...

    Neel Kashkari: - so to control their downside, the banks started buying a kind of insurance. If mortgages default, insurance company pays. Default swap. The banks insure their potential losses to move the risk off their books, so they can invest more, make more money.

    Henry Paulson: And while a lot of companies insured their stuff, one was dumb enough to take on an almost unbelievable amount of risk.

    Michele Davis: AIG.

    Jim Wilkinson: And you'll work on 'dumb.'

    Michele Davis: And when they ask me why they did that?

    Jim Wilkinson: Fees!

    Neel Kashkari: Hundreds of millions in fees.

    Henry Paulson: AIG figures the housing market would just keep going up. But then the unexpected happens.

    Jim Wilkinson: Housing prices go down.

    Neel Kashkari: Poor bastard who bought his dream house? The teaser rate on his mortgage runs out, his payments go up, he defaults.

    Henry Paulson: Mortgage-backed securities tank. AIG has to pay off the swaps. All of them. All over the world. At the same time.

    Neel Kashkari: AIG can't pay. AIG goes under. Every bank they insure books massive losses on the same day. And then they all go under. It all comes down.

    Michele Davis: [horrified] The *whole* financial system? And what do I say when they ask me why it wasn't regulated?

    Henry Paulson: No one wanted to. We were making too much money.

  • Richard Fuld: [on the housing crisis] You know, people act like we're crack dealers. Nobody put a gun to anybody's head and said, "Hey, nimrod, buy a house you can't afford, and you know what? While you're at it, put a line of credit on that baby and buy yourself a boat."

    Joe Gregory: [chuckles] You heard anything from Buffett?

    Erin Callan: He's asking for preferred shares at 40, with a dividend of nine percent.

    Richard Fuld: [annoyed] We were just at 66. What the fuck?

    Joe Gregory: Maybe it's just an opening gambit, Dick.

    Richard Fuld: Sounds more like a goddamn insult!

    Erin Callan: Dick, we're at 36 right now. We haven't been anywhere near 66 in months. The markets like Buffett. His name will push the price up overnight.

    Richard Fuld: You know, I don't care who he is. I am not spending $360 million a year for the pleasure of doing business with him. Real estate will come back.

    Joe Gregory: Koreans have been sniffing around.

    Richard Fuld: There you go. And they won't steal us blind. I've seen this before: CEOs panic and they sell out cheap. Right now, the Street's running around with its hair on fire, but the storm always passes. We stand strong, and on the other side, we'll eat Goldman's lunch.

    Erin Callan: So what do we do about Buffett?

    Richard Fuld: Screw Warren Buffett.